Ada Naïve Bayesian Algorithm for Predicting the Intensity of Rain to Improve the Accuracy

Ada Naïve Bayesian Algorithm for Predicting the Intensity of Rain to Improve the Accuracy

  IJETT-book-cover  International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT)          
  
© 2022 by IJETT Journal
Volume-70 Issue-2
Year of Publication : 2022
Authors : S. Sakthivel, G. Thailambal
DOI :  10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V70I2P204

How to Cite?

S. Sakthivel, G. Thailambal, "Ada Naïve Bayesian Algorithm for Predicting the Intensity of Rain to Improve the Accuracy," International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology, vol. 70, no. 3, pp. 29-36, 2022. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V70I2P204

Abstract
The Indian subcontinent is the globe`s more vulnerable disaster area. A coast border for such area was approximately 7516 kilometres long, including 132 kilometres at Lakshadweep, 5400 kilometres in a major landmass, and 1900 kilometres on an Andaman. Almost 10percent of every major disaster that has developed across the globe has occurred in this territory. According to estimates from 2008 to 2021, a disaster impacted a total of over 370 thousand population across India. Throughout the pre-monsoon seasons, storm development is roughly 30percent on the Bay of Bengal & 25percent on an Arabian Ocean. Thousands of people died as a result of a hurricane, which also caused significant damage to governmental & corporate property. As a result, predicting the intensity of rain is increasingly necessary & critical. An XG Boost (severe Gradients Booster) technique is used in the next part of the study to forecast the development & intensity of rain around the Bay of Bengal, & their effectiveness was evaluated using SVM models. Several lives have been rescued as a result of great scientific growth & improvement at detecting rain far in ahead, such as Gaja & Fani, from IMD. During the last step of this study, the hybrids technique integrating a genetics algorithm and an XGBoost method (GA-XGBoost) is presented for forecasting the intensity for subtropical cyclones (TCs) at the Bay of Bengal (BoB) using data by the Indian Meteorology Department (IMD). Moreover, while comparing current methods, the outcomes of a hybrid approach for TC information are superior.

Keywords
AdaNaïve Bayesian, Classifiers, Disaster, Rainfall prediction.

Reference
[1] Kalimuthu, M., Vaishnavi, P., & Kishore, M. Crop prediction using machine learning. In 2020 Third International Conference on Smart Systems and Inventive Technology (ICSSIT), (2020) 926-932.
[2] Karthick, S., Malathi, D., Sudarsan, J. S., & Nithiyanantham, S. Performance, evaluation and prediction of weather and cyclone categorization using various algorithms. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, (2020) 1-9.
[3] Fayaz, S. A., Zaman, M., & Butt, M. A. Knowledge Discovery in Geographical Sciences—A Systematic Survey of Various Machine Learning Algorithms for Rainfall Prediction. In International Conference on Innovative Computing and Communications (2022) 593-608.
[4] Gupta, R., Sharma, A. K., Garg, O., Modi, K., Kasim, S., Baharum, Z., ... & Mostafa, S. A. WB-CPI: Weather Based Crop Prediction in India Using Big Data Analytics. IEEE Access, 9 (2021) 137869-137885.
[5] Shah, B., Thapa, S., Diyali, R. S., HK, S., & Maharjan, S. Rain Prediction Using Polynomial Regression for the Field of Agriculture Prediction for Karnataka. (2020), Available at SSRN 3635278.
[6] Raval, M., Sivashanmugam, P., Pham, V., Gohel, H., Kaushik, A., & Wan, Y. Automated predictive analytics tool for rainfall forecasting. Scientific Reports, 11(1) (2021) 1-13.
[7] Pham, B. T., Phong, T. V., Nguyen, H. D., Qi, C., Al-Ansari, N., Amini, A., ... & Tien Bui, D. A comparative study of kernel logistic regression, radial basis function classifier, multinomial naïve Bayes, and logistic model tree for flash flood susceptibility mapping. Water, 12(1) (2020) 239.
[8] Setiadi, T.,Noviyanto, F., Hardianto, H., Tarmuji, A., Fadlil, A., & Wibowo, M. Implementation of naïve bayes method in food crops planting recommendation. International Journal of Scientific and Technology Research, 9(2) (2020) 4750-4755.
[9] Singh, T. P., Nandimath, P., Kumbhar, V., Das, S., & Barne, P. Drought risk assessment and prediction using artificial intelligence over the southern Maharashtra state of India. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, (2020) 1-9.
[10] Aiyelokun, O., Ogunsanwo, G., Ojelabi, A., & Agbede, O. Gaussian Naïve Bayes Classification Algorithm for Drought and Flood Risk Reduction. In Intelligent Data Analytics for Decision-Support Systems in Hazard Mitigation, (2021) 49-62.
[11] Murad, S. H., Mohammed, Y., & Salih, M. Comparable Investigation for Rainfall Forecasting using Different Data Mining Approaches in Sulaymaniyah City in Iraq. International Journal, 4(1) (2020) 11-18.
[12] Ganachari, P., & Vijetha, R. K. Machine Learning-Based Rainfall Analysis, (2021).
[13] Pham, B. T., Jaafari, A., Nguyen-Thoi, T., Van Phong, T., Nguyen, H. D., Satyam, N., ... & Prakash, I. Ensemble machine learning models based on Reduced Error Pruning Tree for prediction of rainfall-induced landslides. International Journal of Digital Earth, 14(5) (2021) 575-596.
[14] Anwar, M. T., Hadikurniawati, W., Winarno, E., & Widiyatmoko, W. Performance Comparison of Data Mining Techniques for Rain Prediction Models in Indonesia. In 2020 3rd International Seminar on Research of Information Technology and Intelligent Systems (ISRITI) (2020) 83-88.
[15] Parashar, S., & Hurra, T. A Study on Prediction of Rainfall Using different Data mining Techniques, (2020).
[16] Rajkumar, K. V., & Subrahmanyam, K. ANALYSIS OF PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS AND CLASSIFICATION ENHANCEMENT FOR RAINFALL PREDICTION, (2020).
[17] Tamil Selvi, M., & Jaison, B. Lemuria: A Novel Future Crop Prediction Algorithm Using Data Mining. The Computer Journal. (2020).
[18] Jaison, B. Ada Lemuria: A progressive future crop prediction algorithm using data mining. Sustainable Computing: Informatics and Systems, (2021) 100577.