Probabilistic Modeling and Structural Reliability based Monte Carlo Simulation: A Case Study

Probabilistic Modeling and Structural Reliability based Monte Carlo Simulation: A Case Study

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© 2024 by IJETT Journal
Volume-72 Issue-5
Year of Publication : 2024
Author : Hicham Lamouri, Mouna El Mkhalet, Nouzha Lamdouar
DOI : 10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V72I5P133

How to Cite?

Hicham Lamouri, Mouna El Mkhalet, Nouzha Lamdouar, "Probabilistic Modeling and Structural Reliability based Monte Carlo Simulation: A Case Study," International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology, vol. 72, no. 5, pp. 321-331, 2024. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V72I5P133

Abstract
The paper presents the Monte Carlo method and its applications. According to several studies, the method has been found to be a powerful, simple tool and has been widely utilized for a broad range of approaches to civil engineering problems. The paper also aims to explore the method for reliability analysis and probabilistic modeling. It provides an understanding through two practical cases of study, with a discussion of its fundamental advantages and drawbacks. The first application focuses on modeling the strength characteristics of a reinforced concrete cross-section, including bending moment and shear resistances. In contrast, the second case concentrates on the reliability analysis of a flanged bridge beam in accordance with the prescriptions of the European standard of reinforced concrete design, EUROCODE 2. The variations and uncertainties in geometrical parameters and material properties are modeled by deterministic and random variables using site measurements and the Joint Committee of Structural Safety (JCSS) Probabilistic Code, as well as the proposed models in the literature. This study offers significant contributions to the field of reliability, with a specific focus on structural engineering, and paves the way for further advancements in the use of artificial intelligence techniques, providing valuable insight for researchers and civil engineering practitioners.

Keywords
Monte Carlo simulation, Probability distribution, Structural reliability, FORM, Reinforced concrete, Bridges.

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