International Journal of Engineering
Trends and Technology

Research Article | Open Access | Download PDF
Volume 74 | Issue 3 | Year 2026 | Article Id. IJETT-V74I3P108 | DOI : https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V74I3P108

An Energy Efficient Model to Forecast Solid Waste Generation using Green Artificial Intelligence Methodology


K. Priya, R. Surendiran, K. Sujith, N. Vanjulavalli

Received Revised Accepted Published
11 Nov 2025 10 Jan 2026 29 Jan 2026 28 Mar 2026

Citation :

K. Priya, R. Surendiran, K. Sujith, N. Vanjulavalli, "An Energy Efficient Model to Forecast Solid Waste Generation using Green Artificial Intelligence Methodology," International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT), vol. 74, no. 3, pp. 104-114, 2026. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V74I3P108

Abstract

Forecasting Municipal Solid Waste Generation (MSWG) is the need of the hour all around the world. Every day, researchers are developing numerous models to accurately predict waste generation to take immediate action. The models have been constructed using neural networks that require powerful GPUs or TPUs to compute. These machines exhibit high carbon footprints and harmful gases. Accurate prediction is a must; on the other hand, controlling Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions is in high demand. Keeping this as the objective, in this article, a study was conducted to identify an efficient model that effectively forecasts the MSWG, which is resilient to the number of incoming features. Most of the researchers have used XGBoost, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs) to predict and made these models the base models for predictive analytics. Hence, these models were compared with the Spike Neural Networks (SNNs), a mimic of the human membrane working principle. The effectiveness of these models is evaluated using the Peru MSWG dataset, and the results showed 99% accuracy by all 4 models on a Google Colab T4 GPU environment. The computational time and Carbon dioxide (CO2) emission were recorded. The SNNs are very good in prediction with less computational time, but they emitted considerable CO2 emissions when compared to all three other models. For future deployment efficiency on edge computing, SNNs may show promising results on a Neuromorphic hardware.

Keywords

Energy Efficient Model for prediction, Forecasting Solid Waste Generation, Green AI, Municipal Solid Waste Generation, Spike Neural Networks.

References

[1] Roy Schwartz et al., “Green AI,” Communications of the ACM, vol. 63, no. 12, pp. 54-63, 2019.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[2]Verónica Bolón-Canedo et al., “A Review of Green Artificial Intelligence: Towards a More Sustainable Future,” Neurocomputing, vol. 599, pp. 1-10, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[3] Ishaan Dawar et al., “A Systematic Literature Review on Municipal Solid Waste Management using Machine Learning and Deep Learning,” Artificial Intelligence Review, vol. 58, no. 6, pp. 1-51, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[4] Changze Lv et al., “Efficient and Effective Time-Series Forecasting with Spiking Neural Networks,” arXiv Preprint, pp. 1-14, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[5] Amani Maalouf, and Antonis Mavropoulos, “Re-Assessing Global Municipal Solid Waste Generation,” Waste Management and Research, vol. 41, no. 4, pp. 936-947, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[6] Vaishnavi Jayaraman et al., “Forecasting the Municipal Solid Waste using GSO-XGBoost Model,” Intelligent Automation and Soft Computing, vol. 37, no. 1, pp. 301-320, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[7] Elisabeth Fokker, Thomas Koch, and Elenna R. Dugundji, “Short-Term Time Series Forecasting for Multi-Site Municipal Solid Waste Management,” Procedia Computer Science, vol. 220, pp. 170-179, 2023.
[
CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[8] Ahmed Khaled Abdella Ahmed, Amira Mofreh Ibraheem, and Mahmoud Khaled Abd-Ellah, “Forecasting of Municipal Solid Waste Multi-Classification by using Time-Series Deep Learning Depending on the Living Standard,” Results in Engineering, vol. 16, pp. 1-8, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[9] Keltoum Rahali et al., “Household Waste Management: between Citizenship and Environmental Sustainability,” International Journal of Chemical and Biochemical Sciences, vol. 24, no. 5, pp. 8-18, 2023.
[Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[10] Vahid Nourani et al., “Predicting Municipal Solid Waste Generation using Artificial Intelligence: A Hybrid Approach of Entropy Analysis and SHAP for Optimal Feature Selection,” Waste Management, vol. 205, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[11] Qing Lan, Haonan Guo, and Tianji Cai, “Modeling Municipal Solid Waste Generation in Macao: A Synthetic Approach,” Chinese Journal of Sociology, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 101-120, 2025.
[
CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[12] Oluwatobi Adeleke, and Tien-Chien Jen, “Explainable AI and Machine Learning-based Analysis of Municipal Solid Waste Generation Rate: A South African Case Study,” Waste Management, vol. 206, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[13] Laurie Fontaine, Robert Legros, and Jean-Marc Frayret, “Solid Waste Generation Prediction Model Framework using Socioeconomic and Demographic Factors with Real-Time MSW Collection Data,” Waste Management & Research: The Journal for a Sustainable Circular Economy, vol. 43, no. 2, pp. 267-281, 2025.
[
CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[14] Luis Izquierdo-Horna, Ramzy Kahhat, and Ian Vázquez-Rowe, “Applying Random Forest to Forecast Municipal Solid Waste Generation from Household Fuel Consumption,” Resources, Conservation and Recycling Advances, vol. 27, pp. 1-14, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[15] Xiaoming Liu, Wei Zhi, and Abed Akhundzada, “Enhancing Performance Prediction of Municipal Solid Waste Generation: A Strategic Management,” Frontiers in Environmental Science, vol. 13, pp. 1-15, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[16] Neeraj Kumar et al., “Forecasting Municipal Solid Waste Generation using Advanced Transformer and Multi-Layer Perceptron Techniques,” Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy, vol. 27, no. 9, pp. 4877-4892, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[17] Ganesh S. Valai, V. Suresh, and S. Godwin Barnabas, “Predictive Analysis and Data-Driven Approaches for Developing Sustainable Municipal Solid Waste Management Strategies in Smart Cities: An Urban Analysis of Madurai,” Iranian Journal of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, vol. 44, no. 7, pp. 1976-1993, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[18] E.B. Priyanka et al., “Prediction of Waste Generation Forecast and Emission Potential on the Erode City Solid Waste Dump Yards based on Machine Learning Approach,” Scientific Reports, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 1-19, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[19] Israel Temitayo Daramola, Anchal Garg, and Deepti Mehrotra, “Multivariate Time Series Forecasting of Municipal Solid Waste,” 2024 11th International Conference on Reliability, Infocom Technologies and Optimization (Trends and Future Directions), ICRITO, Noida, India, pp. 1-5, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[20] Lubna AlQaraleh, Husam A. Abu Hajar, and Sandra Matarneh, “Multi-Criteria Sustainability Assessment of Solid Waste Management in Jordan,” Journal of Environmental Management, vol. 366, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[21] Tianrui Zhao et al., “Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) under the Population Shrinking and Aging: Spatio-Temporal Patterns, Driving Forces, and the Impact of Smart City Development,” Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 434, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[22] T. Singh, and R.V.S. Uppaluri, “Machine Learning Tool-based Prediction and Forecasting of Municipal Solid Waste Generation Rate: A Case Study in Guwahati, Assam, India,” International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, vol. 20, no. 11, pp. 12207-12230, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[23] Sarmad Dashti Latif et al., “Evaluating Different Machine Learning Models for Predicting Municipal Solid Waste Generation: A Case Study of Malaysia,” Environment, Development and Sustainability, vol. 26, no. 5, pp. 12489-12512, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[24] Kittiya Thibuy, and Prajaks Jitngernmadan, “Hyperlocal Optimal Solid Waste Generation Prediction Model : Case Study: Saensuk Municipality, Chon Buri,” 2022 6th International Conference on Information Technology (InCIT), Nonthaburi, Thailand, pp. 129-133, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[25] Bing Xu, “Front Matter,” 2019 IEEE 3rd Information Technology, Networking, Electronic and Automation Control Conference (ITNEC), Chengdu, China, pp. 1-6, 2019.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[26] Behzad Esmaeilian et al., “The Future of Waste Management in Smart and Sustainable Cities: A Review and Concept Paper,” Waste Management, vol. 81, pp. 177-195, 2018.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[27] Lei Deng et al., “Rethinking the Performance Comparison between SNNS and ANNS,” Neural Networks, vol. 121, pp. 294-307, 2020.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]

[28] Edson Marin, Household Solid Waste in Peru, 2026. [Online]. Available: https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/edsonmarin/household-solid-waste-in-peru?resource=download