Research Article | Open Access | Download PDF
Volume 74 | Issue 6 | Year 2026 | Article Id. IJETT-V74I6P119 | DOI : https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V74I6P119Volcanic Activity Detection through Plume Image Analysis using CNN-LSTM
Ryan B. Jaucian, Alonica R. Villanueva
| Received | Revised | Accepted | Published |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2025 | 24 Mar 2026 | 20 Apr 2026 | 27 Jun 2026 |
Citation :
Ryan B. Jaucian, Alonica R. Villanueva, "Volcanic Activity Detection through Plume Image Analysis using CNN-LSTM," International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT), vol. 74, no. 6, pp. 261-2668, 2026. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V74I6P119
Abstract
Volcanic plumes pose serious risks to aviation, public health, and the environment, and they are essential visual indicators of a volcano's eruptive activity. Effective hazard mitigation and early warning systems depend on the timely and precise classification of plume types (such as ash, steam, or gas) and the forecasting of plume direction. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithms are employed in this study to examine the use of a parallel machine learning model that analyzes volcanic plume imagery and predicts plume direction based on temporal and spatial features. Sequential image data was used to train the suggested parallel CNN-LSTM architecture, which allowed the model to predict directional movement over time and classify different types of plumes In addition to a directional prediction performance indicated by 0.1252 Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and 0.9217 R2, the experimental results showed high accuracy across tasks, with the model achieving a precision of 1.0000 for ash plumes, 0.9954 for steam plumes, and 0.9787 for gas plumes. The findings demonstrate the model's potential as a real-time volcanic plume monitoring application, making a substantial contribution to automated early warning systems and risk assessment techniques.
Keywords
Classification, Forecasting, Image Processing, Machine Learning, Plumes.
References
[1] Tian-yu Zhang et al.,
“Identification and Evolution of Tectonic Units in the Philippine Sea Plate,” China
Geology, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 96-109, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[2] Biswajit Basu, and Manish
Kanojia, “Modelling the Effect of Submarine Volcanic Eruption on Equatorial
Oceanic Flows,” Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, vol. 74,
pp. 1-13, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[3] Xuecheng Li, “Impact of
Geological Hazards on Regional Economic Development: Evidence from the Pacific
Ring of Fire,” Frontiers in Sustainable Development, vol. 5, no. 10, pp.
50-58, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Publisher Link]
[4] Tobias Dürig et al.,
“REFIR- A Multi-Parameter System for Near Real-Time Estimates of Plume-Height
and Mass Eruption Rate During Explosive Eruptions,” Journal of Volcanology
and Geothermal Research, vol. 360, pp. 61-83, 2018.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[5] Pascal Hedelt et al.,
“Analysis of the Long-Range Transport of the Volcanic Plume from the 2021
Tajogaite/Cumbre Vieja Eruption to Europe using TROPOMI and Ground-based
Measurements,” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, vol. 25, no. 2, pp.
1253-1272, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[6] Vassilis Amiridis et al.,
“Aeolus Winds Impact on Volcanic Ash Early Warning Systems for Aviation,” Scientific
Reports, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 1-14, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[7] Simona Scoll et al.,
“Multi-Sensor Analysis of a Weak and Long-Lasting Volcanic Plume Emission,” Remote
Sensing, vol. 12, no. 23, pp. 1-19, 2020.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[8] Guillermo Blanco et al.,
“Effects of a Recent Volcanic Eruption on the Isolated Population of the Iconic
Red-Billed Chough in La Palma, Canary Islands,” PeerJ, vol. 12, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[9] Marilia Hagen, and Anibal
Azevedo, “Recent Volcanic Eruptions and El Niño Southern Oscillations Affecting
Climate,” American Journal of Climate Change, vol. 13, no. 4, pp.
825-844, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[10] N. Carfagna et al.,
“Seismic Monitoring of Gas Emissions at Mud Volcanoes: The Case of Nirano
(Northern Italy),” Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, vol.
446, pp. 1-11, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[11] Simone Cogliati et al.,
“Tracking the Behaviour of Persistently Degassing Volcanoes using Noble Gas
Analysis of Pele’s Hairs and Tears: A Case Study of the Masaya Volcano
(Nicaragua),” Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, vol. 414,
2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[12] Steve A. Chien et al.,
“Automated Volcano Monitoring using Multiple Space and Ground Sensors,” Journal
of Aerospace Information Systems, vol. 17, no. 4, pp. 214-228, 2020.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[13] Alvaro Amigo, “Volcano
Monitoring and Hazard Assessments in Chile,” Volcanica, vol. 4, no. S1,
pp. 1-20, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[14] Adam Cegla et al.,
“Detecting Volcanic Plume Signatures on GNSS Signal, based on the 2014 Sakurajima
Eruption,” Advances in Space Research, vol. 69, no. 1, pp. 292-307,
2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[15] Carmen del Fresno et al.,
“The Challenge of Monitoring Volcanic Unrest Processes in Small Oceanic
Islands: The Case of Tagoro Volcano (Canary Islands),” EGU General Assembly
Conference Abstracts, pp. 19-30, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[16] Giovanni Lo Bue Trisciuzzi
et al., “Improved Volcanic SO2 Flux Records from Integrated
Scanning-DOAS and UV Camera Observations,” Journal of Volcanology and
Geothermal Research, vol. 455, pp. 1-14, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[17] Sébastien Valade et al.,
“Towards Global Volcano Monitoring using Multi-sensor Sentinel Missions and
Artificial Intelligence: The MOUNTS Monitoring System,” Remote Sensing,
vol. 11, no. 13, pp. 1-31, 2019.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[18] Haraldur Sigurdsson, The
Encyclopedia of Volcanoes, 2nd ed., Elsevier, 2015.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[19] Congzi Xia et al.,
“Tracking SO2 Plumes from the Tonga Volcano Eruption with
Multi-Satellite Observations,” iScience, vol. 27, no. 4, pp. 1-12, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[20] Ryo Shingubara et al.,
“Development of a Drone-Borne Volcanic Plume Sampler,” Journal of
Volcanology and Geothermal Research, vol. 412, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[21] Tyler Paladino et al.,
“Effects of Wind on the Stability of Explosive Eruption Plumes,” Journal of
Volcanology and Geothermal Research, vol. 448, pp. 1-19, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[22] L. Mereu et al., “A New
Radar‐based Statistical Model to Quantify Mass Eruption Rate of Volcanic
Plumes,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 50, no. 7, pp. 1-10, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[23] Tobias Dürig, Louise S.
Schmidt, and Fabio Dioguardi, “Optimizing Mass Eruption Rate Estimates by
Combining Simple Plume Models,” Frontiers in Earth Science, vol. 11, pp.
1-17, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[24] Talfan Barnie et al.,
“Volcanic Plume Height Monitoring using Calibrated Web Cameras at the Icelandic
Meteorological Office: System Overview and First Application During the 2021
Fagradalsfjall Eruption,” Journal of Applied Volcanology, vol. 12, no.
1, pp. 1-19, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[25] C.R. Rowell, A.M. Jellinek,
and J.T. Gilchrist, “Tracking Eruption Column Thermal Evolution and Source
Unsteadiness in Ground‐based Thermal Imagery using Spectral‐Clustering,” Geochem
Geophys Geosyst, vol. 24, no. 11, pp. 1-45, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[26] Dan Smale et al.,
“Opportunistic Observations of Mount Erebus Volcanic Plume Hcl, HF and SO2
by High Resolution Solar Occultation Mid Infra-Red Spectroscopy,” Journal of
Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer, vol. 307, pp. 1-10, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[27] Aboud Albadra et al.,
“Determining the Three-Dimensional Structure of a Volcanic Plume using
Unoccupied Aerial System (UAS) Imagery,” Journal of Volcanology and
Geothermal Research, vol. 407, pp. 1-11, 2020.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[28] V. Salgueiro et al.,
“Characterization of Tajogaite Volcanic Plumes Detected Over the Iberian
Peninsula from a Set of Satellite and Ground-based Remote Sensing
Instrumentation,” Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 295, pp. 1-18,
2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[29] Ilaria Petracca et al.,
“Volcanic Cloud Detection using Sentinel-3 Satellite Data by Means of Neural
Networks: The Raikoke 2019 Eruption Test Case,” Atmospheric Measurement
Techniques, vol. 15, no. 24, pp. 7195-7210, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[30] Aggeliki Kyriou, and
Konstantinos Nikolakopoulos, “Analysis of Surface Deformation During Volcanic
Eruptions using Sentinel-1 Imagery,” Earth Resources and Environmental
Remote Sensing/GIS Applications XIV, vol. 12734, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[31] Vitali E. Fioletov et al.,
“Estimation of Anthropogenic and Volcanic SO2 Emissions from
Satellite Data in the Presence of Snow/Ice on the Ground,” Atmospheric
Measurement Techniques, vol. 16, no. 22, pp. 5575-5592, 2023.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[32] Can Li et al., “A New
Machine-Learning-based Analysis for Improving Satellite-Retrieved Atmospheric
Composition Data: OMI SO2 as an Example,” Atmospheric Measurement
Techniques, vol. 15, no. 18, pp. 5497-5514, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[33] Riccardo Simionato et al.,
“Plumetrap: A New MATLAB-based Algorithm to Detect and Parametrize Volcanic
Plumes from Visible-Wavelength Images,” Remote Sensing, vol. 14, no. 7,
pp. 1-23, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[34] Raphaël Grandin et al.,
“Automatic Estimation of Daily Volcanic Sulfur Dioxide Gas Flux from TROPOMI
Satellite Observations: Application to Etna and Piton de la Fournaise,” JGR
Solid Earth, vol. 129, no. 6, pp. 1-30, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[35] Mark J. Woodhouse,
“Estimating the Mass Eruption Rate of Volcanic Eruptions from the Plume Height
using Bayesian Regression with Historical Data: The MERPH Model,” Journal of
Volcanology and Geothermal Research, vol. 454, pp. 1-13, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[36] T.C. Wilkes, T.D. Pering,
and A.J.S. McGonigle, “Semantic Segmentation of Explosive Volcanic Plumes
Through Deep Learning,” Computers and Geosciences, vol. 168, pp. 1-14,
2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[37] José Francisco Guerrero
Tello et al., “Convolutional Neural Network Algorithms for Semantic
Segmentation of Volcanic Ash Plumes using Visible Camera Imagery,” Remote
Sensing, vol. 14, no. 18, pp. 1-18, 2022.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[38] D. Z. Haq et al., “Long
Short-Term Memory Algorithm for Rainfall Prediction based on El-Nino and IOD Data,”
Procedia Computer Science, vol. 179, pp. 829-837, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[39] Maria Pia Del Rosso et al.,
“On-Board Volcanic Eruption Detection through CNNs and Satellite Multispectral
Imagery,” Remote Sensing, vol. 13, no. 17, pp. 1-16, 2021.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[40] Weiwei Bai et al.,
“Cooperative Spectrum Sensing Method based on Channel Attention and Parallel
CNN-LSTM,” Digital Signal Processing, vol. 158, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[41] Zhonghe Tian et al., “A Paralleled
CNN and Transformer Network for PPG-based Cuff-Less Blood Pressure Estimation,”
Biomedical Signal Processing and Control, vol. 99, 2025.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]
[42] Burak Gülmez, “Stock Price Prediction using the
Sand Cat Swarm Optimization and an Improved Deep Long Short Term Memory
Network,” Borsa Istanbul Review, vol. 24, pp. 32-46, 2024.
[CrossRef] [Google Scholar] [Publisher Link]